Will China attack Taiwan while the U.S. is tied down by Ukraine? #shorts #china #tiwan #ukrainewar

President Xi is examining the broader context in that there are lessons from Ukraine, which might condition a greater sense of caution about aggressive actions. But of course, Taiwan is not Ukraine and China is not Russia. And the military dynamics of a conflict in the South China Sea will look very different than the military dynamics that we've seen play out in Ukraine. So the Chinese are aware that there's a window of opportunity, but that window can be extended, that window can be shortened as a result of actions that they take, as well as actions that the international community takes. The real challenge for the Biden administration and for other partners in Asia is to try to extend that window, to try to ensure that the Chinese don't see the incentive to move quickly, to move precipitously, especially at a time where there's where there are so many other pressures on Xi at this point in time, both internally and across the region. It's unlikely that we're going to see short-term action, but I also don't think that we can rule that out.

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