Summary:
- Multiple tropical systems are gaining strength, with a new invest in the Gulf region.
- Meteorologist Tony Monofi discusses the potential development and trajectory of the new system.
- Invest 93 forms in the northwestern Caribbean, while another tropical wave emerges from the west coast of Africa.
- The system closer to Central Florida is displaying thunderstorm activity and has an 80% chance of development.
- Computer models vary in predicting the system's path and intensity, with the potential for it to become a hurricane.
- Fluctuating wind patterns will influence the system's direction and impact.
Activity in the tropics is intensifying, with multiple systems gaining strength, including a new invest in the Gulf region that could pose a threat to Central Florida. Chief meteorologist Tony Monofi discusses the potential trajectory of this developing system.
Invest 93 in Northwestern Caribbean and New Tropical Wave
Two significant developments have emerged today in the tropics. Firstly, there's Invest 93 located in the northwestern Caribbean. Additionally, a new tropical wave is originating off the west coast of Africa, though it currently holds a low 20% chance of further development. Our focus, however, is on the system closer to Central Florida.
Potential Development and Tracking
Observations indicate favorable conditions for development as thunderstorms intensify on the north and east side of the system. The Hurricane Center assesses an 80% likelihood of this system's development over the next five to seven days. The system is moving north-northwest at approximately 10 miles per hour with sustained winds of about 25 miles per hour.
Various computer models have been tracking the system's potential trajectory. Subsequent data will refine these predictions further. The American GFS model suggests a possible trajectory towards the western panhandle. Intensity forecasts range from the system becoming a tropical depression to potentially evolving into a hurricane, as indicated by some long-range models.
Winds and Direction
The current wind pattern displays variations, with some regions experiencing winds from the east and others from the west. These fluctuations in wind direction can significantly influence the system's path and intensity.
As developments continue, monitoring the progress of this system is crucial for regions potentially in its path. Preparedness measures are advised, especially considering the potential for the system to escalate into a significant weather event.